
2026-06-11
As an alternative to the Trump route, Armenia announces the
shortest railway corridor connecting Azerbaijan-Turkey Kars - Gyumri - Vanadzor
- Fioletovo - Ijevan - Kazakh North.
Laura Sarkissian - Master of Journalism, founder of the
“Armenian Crossroads” Telegram channel. Main direction - logistics,
geoeconomics and geopolitics.
The recent statement by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol
Pashinyan about the shortest route connecting the west and east of the country
through the north as an alternative to the Trump route has caused additional
excitement. Until now, the main emphasis in political circles has been on the
so-called southern direction of the Trump route.
In such a situation, both the middle corridor passing
through Georgia and its Baku-Tbilisi-Kars branch will have an additional
competitor. Moreover, the area of operation
of the new Armenian corridor will move closer to Georgia.
Experts have long pointed to the need to develop other
transport corridors. There is an opinion that the Trump route will not be
economically profitable for Armenia, since the net profit from transporting one
ton of cargo along the 43-km transit section through the territory of Armenia
is not very high and amounts to only $1.
What practical prospects will the new transit route
connecting Azerbaijan and Turkey passing through the north of Armenia have?
It is worth noting that the project on which the Armenian
authorities have focused attention is not new, it partially operated during the
Soviet era.
The new railway line in the north of the country - between
the village of Fioletovo in the Lori region and the city of Ijevan in the
Tavush region - envisages the restoration of the railway section (yellow
contour on the diagram) and the construction of a new 32 km section between
Fioletovo and Vanadzor (black contour on the diagram).
The northern route will allow crossing Armenia from east to
west and will be oriented to servicing major international transit flows.
According to preliminary estimates, the cost of the new
northern route may reach $ 1 billion. $ 500 million will be spent on the
restoration of the Fioletovo - Ijevan section alone.
To create a full-fledged international corridor, a new 32 km
section between Vanadzor and Fioletovo will form the framework of a short
railway corridor in the northern direction, resulting in a corridor Kars-Gyumri
- Vanadzor - Fioletovo - Ijevan - Kazakh, in addition to the northern corridor,
reducing the distance between Yerevan and the Georgian border by almost 100 km.
The Fioletovo-Ijevan railway section was once part of the
Soviet railway network, connecting central Armenia with the northeastern
regions and later with the Azerbaijan SSR.
After the collapse of the USSR and the closure of the
Armenian-Azerbaijani border, traffic along the line was suspended, and in the
2000s, a landslide in the Agartsin region completely destroyed this section. In
addition, the Meghradzor tunnel, once the longest in the USSR, remained
inoperative and is currently being preserved.
The northern railway route through Armenia, passing through
the Dilijan region, is a landslide-prone zone. The restoration of the track on
this section requires large-scale engineering work to stabilize the unstable
soil.
When it comes to the profitability of the northern route,
much depends on the prospects for its integration into various local routes on
the territory of Armenia, in particular, its connectivity with the
Yerevan-Razdan-Dilijan-Ijevan-Kazakh section connecting with Azerbaijan.
The Razdan-Ijevan-Kazakh railway line was built in the 1970s
and, compared to the existing routes through Airum, Jajur and Gyumri, the route
has a favorable profile and less steep gradients.
It is important to integrate the northern direction into
international corridors. According to expert assessments, Armenia already has
its own railway line to Kars. Therefore, the opening of the Gyumri-Kars line is
much more promising, since there is a wagon-changing station in Gyumri, where
it will be possible to service European and Russian wagons without
interruption.
There is a counterargument that large-scale transportation along the East-West axis connecting Azerbaijan and Turkey via the northern corridor of Armenia is currently unlikely, as competing routes via the Black Sea, Turkey, Georgia and Azerbaijan are already established and feature developed infrastructure, in which significant investments have been made. Even if the Armenian route is used, the potential cargo composition remains limited.
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